On November 5, 2025 we continued the ICGE Speaker Series with Murillo Campello of The University of Florida’s Warrington College of Business. Murillo presented “Tax Incentives and the Governance of Venture Capital Risk-Taking” and ICGE Research Director, Luiz Ricardo Kabbach, moderated.
Professor Campello shared evidence on how tax policy can influence venture capital behavior, showing that tax subsidies not only encourage greater risk-taking among investors but can also lead to more innovative and higher-valued ventures.
+ Tax Incentives and the Governance of Venture Capital Risk-Taking
Can tax subsidies prompt investors to take on more risk? We address this question within a framework in which venture capitalists (VCs) combine outside funding with incentive-based compensation and examine a policy that eliminated capital gains taxes on startup investments. Our study analyzes data from 158 thousand investor–firm pairings over two decades. We find that when and where tax subsidies apply, VCs shift their project selection toward riskier ventures: they become more likely to provide tax-eligible businesses with their initial capital, venture more into pre-commercial stage startups, invest in industries in which they have no prior experience, and more in firms with pre-existing debt, while becoming less likely to co-syndicate their investments. These portfolio firms eventually show higher failure rates. On the flip side, the increased risk-taking yields salient return outcomes: tax-subsidized VC-backed ventures attain higher valuations at exit and are more likely to reach “unicorn status.” None of these patterns are observed for comparable non-VC investors eligible for the same tax subsidies. Our study is the first to show that tax policy can shift entrepreneurial financing toward riskier, more experimental, valuable ventures, with outcomes shaped by investor organizational structure and incentives.
Professor Murillo Campello is an internationally recognized scholar of Financial Economics. Campello’s papers have been cited by prominent policy authorities, such as the Federal Reserve chairman, mentioned in Congressional hearings, described in the “Economic Report of the President,” and used to advise the U.S. Supreme Court. His work on the Financial Crisis, Brexit, and Covid-19, in particular, has been widely featured in the financial press (Financial Times, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal), books, and academic outlets.
Professor Campello is an Eminent Scholar in Finance at the University of Florida. He is the Managing Editor of The Journal of Financial Intermediation. He is also a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, a Director of Research at the Judge Business School at the University of Cambridge, and a Distinguished Scholar at Pembroke College (Cambridge). Campello is a former chaired professor at the Johnson Graduate School of Management at Cornell University. He earned his PhD in Finance from the University of Illinois, an MS in Business Administration from the Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro, and a BS in Economics from the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro.

We are thrilled to announce the appointment of Todd Haugh as the new director of the Institute for Corporate Governance and Ethics (ICGE) at the Kelley School of Business. Haugh, a prominent scholar with profound expertise in business ethics, will lead the institute’s mission to foster ethical leadership and good governance practices in the corporate world.